With Week 1 of Cedric Ogbuehi Jersey the 2020 NFL season finally here, TeamRankings' weekly advice column for NFL pick 'emcontests and office pools is back. In this post, TeamRankings' data-driven experts highlight five Week 1 picks -- from value favorites to worthwhile underdogs --that can help give you an edge in yourquest to win an NFL pick 'em or confidence pool in 2020.TeamRankings is the only site that provides customized picks that maximize your edge in football pools. Check out their , , and . For a limited time, TeamRankings is offering a .GET PICKS NOW: FREE Week 1 pick 'em, survivor, betting picks from TeamRankingsHow We Identify NFL Week 1 Value PicksOur picks advice is different than most. Why? Because not many people understand that good NFL game predictions are only part of the story when it comes to maximizing your edge to win a football pool. You also need to consider how you expect your opponents to pick each game.After all, you can only rise in your pool standings if you score points that your opponents, so,in order to distance yourself from the competition, you need to do two things:Always look for unpopular picks that might be worth an educated gambleMake sure to avoid trendy upset picks that aren't worth the risk.This approach to making picks is a big reason why since 2014, an average of .WEEK 1 FANTASY PPR RANKINGS: | | | | | Week 1NFL Picks Advice: Tips for Pick 'em Pools We are not saying that you should make all of the picks in this article the upset picks especially. The best Week 1 picks for your NFL pool depend on strategy factors such as your pool's size, rules, and prize structure, (plus, in future weeks, situational factors like your current place in the standings and the number of weeks left). To learn why, .What we are saying is that the teams mentioned Clark Harris Jersey in this post provide some of the best opportunities to differentiate your Week 1 picks from your pool opponentsby taking on little or no additional risk. We also call out matchups where picking an upset is probably a terrible idea. If you want our game-by-game pick recommendations for all of your specific pools, please use our .Note: Win odds and estimated pick popularity data below may change between publication time and kickoff time. If you want the latest numbers, our product updates multiple times per day.Big Favorite At A Reasonable PriceThe pick below may not be significantly underrated by the public, but compared to other big favorites this week, it's a relative bargain in terms of pick popularity. Think twice about picking against itbecause there are smarter upset pick opportunities elsewhere.Indianapolis Colts (at Jacksonville)The public does not appear to be fully aware of the opposite directions in which these two teams have headed. Indianapolis won only one more game than Jacksonville last season, but the Jaguars have been losing talent over the past few years and now look to be in complete tear-down-and-rebuild mode. Russell Bodine Jersey Indianapolis is favored by 7.5 points in this gamewith the second-highest Week 1 win odds (78 percent) of any team according to our projections, trailing only Kansas City at 80 percent. Meanwhile, "only" 80 percentof public pick 'em entries are picking Indianapolis so far, meaning that a healthy 20 percentof players are going with what would objectively be a significant upset.So, for one of the biggest favorites of the week, Indianapolis isn't being wildly overrated, which is rare. If you are dead set on picking a major upset this week, don't make it (relatively) popular Jacksonville.MORE TEAMRANKINGS: Value FavoritesWeek 1 features several favorites that the public is picking at a lower rate than their chances to win. These types of teams are as close to no-brainer picks as you can get in NFL pick em contestssince you can take the team that's expected to win, yet still "fade the public" (in relative terms, at least) at the same time.Detroit Lions (vs. Chicago)The Lions are three-point favorites at home against Chicago, and our models put Detroit's win odds at 65 percent. Only 61 percentof the public is taking Detroit, though, so you are still getting some value by staying with the Lions.Why might a sliver of the public be underestimating Detroit here? Well, the Lions were 3-12-1 a year ago, to start.That win-lo s record, though, included playing without quarterback Matthew Stafford over the last eight games of the season when the Lions were terrible on offense and went 0-8. When Stafford was healthy, Detroit was much better on offense, and he's back and ready to go to start 2020.Minnesota Vikings (vs. Green Bay)The Vikings got swept by Green Bay a season ago, playing particularly poorly in a prime-time slot in December when the NFC North title was on the line.With those results likely still fresh Randy Bullock Jersey in some people's minds, it's not a huge surprise that a portion of the public is doubting the Vikingsdespite betting odds favoring Minnesota by threepoints. Our win odds give Minnesota a 60-percentchance, yet only 57 percent of the public is picking them.That means, again, that you can take both the favorite and the underrated team in this game.Unpopular To s-Up PickWhen a matchup is close to a 50/50 proposition, it often makes sense to pick the le s popular team. To win an NFL pick 'em pool, you're probably going to need some luck in these "coin flip" games, and when you get it, you want to maximize the upside.Atlanta (vs. Seattle)Seattle won a lot of close games last year, going 10-2 in the regular season in games decided by eightpoints or le s. This shows thatthe Seahawks weren't as dominant as their 11-5 record would suggest.With this game in Atlanta against the Falcons' strong pa sing offense, the point spread currently favors Seattle by only two points, but 77 percentof the public is going with the Seahawks. (For additional perspective, that is almost the same percentage of pick 'em entries that are taking the Colts against Jacksonville, a team favored by eight points.)With that many players going the other way, taking Atlanta is a solid value choice, especially in one-week pick 'em contests where taking any reasonable risk to Cedric Peerman Jersey fade the public makes sense.Value GambleIf you're going to make a gamble on an underdog, you need to make sure that the potential reward if you get it right that is, how much your odds to win your pool will increase is big. Take a bunch of extra risk to make a super-trendy upset pick, and the joke is really on you.The pick below is definitely not appropriate for all pools. If you're in a smaller, season-long pool, it's probably not worth the risk. However, it should be seriously considered for single-week contests or if you only care about weekly prizes in your pool.